FCI Levadia IIvs
Flora II
COMPLETEDEstonia · Esiliiga A · 9/4/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Flora II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-3 (7%), 2-2 (7%), 1-3 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FCI Levadia II 6-2 Flora II
Original prediction
Flora II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.38 | 37.9% | 30.4% | -7.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.03 | 22.4% | 18.1% | -4.4 pts |
| Away | 2.28 | 39.7% | 51.5% | 11.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–37%
- 2.2–27%
- 3.1–36%
Predicted outcome
Flora II
Probability
51.5%
Model confidence
51.5%
Flora II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 15 · avg 1.60/3.00
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60