Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Urartu · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 1-2 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Urartu 3-2 Andranik
Original prediction
FC Urartu
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 September 2026 at 17:57 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.27 | 71.0% | 42.4% | -28.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.83 | 18.6% | 24.5% | 5.9 pts |
| Away | 8.68 | 10.4% | 33.1% | 22.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.27 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-28.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
FC Urartu
Probability
42.4%
Model confidence
42.4%
FC Urartu has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FC UrartuDWDWL
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
AndranikWWWLW
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
FC UrartuAndranik
50.0Attack100.0
50.0Defence100.0
50.0Form100.0
50.0Power97.0
1.67xG2.07