GGOALVIO

Armenia · Cup · 10/28/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lernayin Artsakh · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 3-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Lernayin Artsakh 1-7 Shirak

Original prediction

Lernayin Artsakh

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 19:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 3.50+
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home5.0018.0%39.6%21.7 pts
Draw3.5925.0%25.3%0.3 pts
Away1.5857.0%35.0%-21.9 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

21.7 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.2–19%
  2. 2.1–18%
  3. 3.3–18%

Predicted outcome

Lernayin Artsakh

Probability

39.6%

Model confidence

39.6%

Lernayin Artsakh has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lernayin ArtsakhWLLWW

GF 13 · GA 10 · avg 2.60/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
ShirakLDLLL

GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Lernayin ArtsakhShirak
100.0Attack50.0
100.0Defence50.0
100.0Form50.0
97.0Power50.0
2.52xG1.48
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