FC UFAvs
Volga Ulyanovsk
COMPLETEDRussia · First League · 9/13/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC UFA · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (13%), 1-1 (13%), 2-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC UFA 2-2 Volga Ulyanovsk
Original prediction
FC UFA
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.47 | 37.3% | 52.8% | 15.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.16 | 29.2% | 24.7% | -4.5 pts |
| Away | 2.76 | 33.4% | 22.4% | -11.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.16 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
15.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–013%
- 2.1–113%
- 3.2–012%
Predicted outcome
FC UFA
Probability
52.8%
Model confidence
52.8%
FC UFA has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FC UFALDWWD
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Volga UlyanovskDWDLL
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
FC UFAVolga Ulyanovsk
48.1Attack44.4
66.7Defence48.1
59.3Form37.0
59.3Power44.5
1.64xG0.80