Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC UFA · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 1-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC UFA 1-1 Veles
Original prediction
FC UFA
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:19 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.32 | 39.8% | 40.7% | 1.0 pts |
| Draw | 2.98 | 30.9% | 28.9% | -2.0 pts |
| Away | 3.15 | 29.3% | 30.3% | 1.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.98 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.1–013%
Predicted outcome
FC UFA
Probability
40.7%
Model confidence
40.7%
FC UFA has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FC UFAWWDLD
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
VelesWWWLW
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
FC UFAVeles
50.0Attack48.1
66.7Defence63.0
62.5Form77.8
60.9Power65.8
1.16xG0.95