FC UFAvs
Torpedo Moskva
COMPLETEDRussia · First League · 9/27/2026, 9:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Torpedo Moskva · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-1 (14%), 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC UFA 0-0 Torpedo Moskva
Original prediction
Torpedo Moskva
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.13 | 22.5% | 23.1% | 0.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.23 | 28.7% | 26.9% | -1.8 pts |
| Away | 1.90 | 48.9% | 50.1% | 1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.23 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–114%
- 2.1–114%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Torpedo Moskva
Probability
50.1%
Model confidence
50.1%
Torpedo Moskva has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20