FC UFAvs
Nizhny Novgorod
COMPLETEDRussia · First League · 10/24/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nizhny Novgorod · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (13%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC UFA 0-1 Nizhny Novgorod
Original prediction
Nizhny Novgorod
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 17:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.33 | 17.6% | 25.0% | 7.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.04 | 23.3% | 26.9% | 3.6 pts |
| Away | 1.59 | 59.1% | 48.1% | -11.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.59 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–113%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Nizhny Novgorod
Probability
48.1%
Model confidence
48.1%
Nizhny Novgorod has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 20 · GA 2 · avg 4.00/0.40