FC Tallinnvs
Nõmme Kalju II
SCHEDULEDEstonia · Esiliiga A · 8/29/2026, 9:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Tallinn · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
FC Tallinn are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Nõmme Kalju II are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Tallinn hold a 5.2-point power-rating edge (37.0 v 31.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.2% in the Esiliiga A, while FC Tallinn holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 80% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FC Tallinn
Probability
49.8%
Model confidence
7.2%
FC Tallinn has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
GF 3 · GA 16 · avg 0.60/3.20