GGOALVIO

Estonia · Esiliiga A · 8/29/2026, 9:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Tallinn · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Lowconfidence

FC Tallinn are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Nõmme Kalju II are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Tallinn hold a 5.2-point power-rating edge (37.0 v 31.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.2% in the Esiliiga A, while FC Tallinn holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 80% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC Tallinn

Probability

49.8%

Model confidence

7.2%

FC Tallinn has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC TallinnLDWWW

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Nõmme Kalju IILLLLD

GF 3 · GA 16 · avg 0.60/3.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
FC TallinnNõmme Kalju II
43.9Attack47.0
24.2Defence12.1
36.4Form28.8
37.0Power31.8
2.63xG2.00
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