FC Tallinnvs
Nõmme Kalju II
COMPLETEDEstonia · Esiliiga A · 8/29/2026, 9:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Tallinn · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Tallinn 0-2 Nõmme Kalju II
Original prediction
FC Tallinn
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:53 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.89 | 47.6% | 52.7% | 5.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.03 | 22.3% | 19.0% | -3.4 pts |
| Away | 2.99 | 30.1% | 28.4% | -1.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.2–27%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
FC Tallinn
Probability
52.7%
Model confidence
52.7%
FC Tallinn has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 3 · GA 16 · avg 0.60/3.20