FC Tallinnvs
Maardu
COMPLETEDEstonia · Esiliiga A · 9/10/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Maardu · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (8%), 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Tallinn 4-0 Maardu
Original prediction
Maardu
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: -| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.95 | 30.5% | 31.0% | 0.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.88 | 23.2% | 19.8% | -3.4 pts |
| Away | 1.95 | 46.3% | 49.2% | 2.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 - · Draw - · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–28%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Maardu
Probability
49.2%
Model confidence
49.2%
Maardu has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FC TallinnWLLDL
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
MaarduWWWLW
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FC TallinnMaardu
40.7Attack55.6
29.6Defence32.1
34.6Form50.6
37.2Power47.6
1.79xG2.30