FC Tallinnvs
FCI Levadia II
COMPLETEDEstonia · Esiliiga A · 9/13/2026, 9:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FCI Levadia II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (8%), 2-2 (7%), 1-3 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Tallinn 1-5 FCI Levadia II
Original prediction
FCI Levadia II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.33 | 27.0% | 27.0% | 0.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.03 | 22.3% | 18.5% | -3.8 pts |
| Away | 1.77 | 50.7% | 54.5% | 3.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.77 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–28%
- 2.2–27%
- 3.1–37%
Predicted outcome
FCI Levadia II
Probability
54.5%
Model confidence
54.5%
FCI Levadia II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 12 · GA 11 · avg 2.40/2.20