FC Sochivs
Ska-khabarovsk
COMPLETEDRussia · First League · 9/18/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Sochi · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-0 (12%), 2-0 (12%), 4-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Sochi 1-1 Ska-khabarovsk
Original prediction
FC Sochi
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.41 | 66.7% | 80.2% | 13.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.61 | 20.4% | 12.8% | -7.7 pts |
| Away | 7.32 | 12.9% | 7.1% | -5.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.61 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–012%
- 2.2–012%
- 3.4–010%
Predicted outcome
FC Sochi
Probability
80.2%
Model confidence
80.2%
FC Sochi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20