FC Sochivs
Nizhny Novgorod
COMPLETEDRussia · First League · 9/5/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Sochi · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Sochi 0-1 Nizhny Novgorod
Original prediction
FC Sochi
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:16 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.50 | 37.0% | 42.8% | 5.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.22 | 28.6% | 23.2% | -5.5 pts |
| Away | 2.68 | 34.4% | 34.0% | -0.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
FC Sochi
Probability
42.8%
Model confidence
42.8%
FC Sochi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 16 · GA 9 · avg 3.20/1.80