GGOALVIO

Russia · First League · 8/30/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Sochi · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

FC Sochi are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Chelyabinsk are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Sochi hold an 8.4-point power-rating edge (53.8 v 45.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.2% in the First League, while FC Sochi holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC Sochi

Probability

51.6%

Model confidence

12.2%

FC Sochi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC SochiWLWLD

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
ChelyabinskLLWLL

GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
FC SochiChelyabinsk
66.7Attack46.7
53.3Defence46.7
46.7Form40.0
53.8Power45.5
1.78xG1.11
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