Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Porto · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Porto 2-0 Arouca
Original prediction
FC Porto
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
FC Porto
Probability
49.6%
Model confidence
49.6%
FC Porto has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FC PortoWWWLW
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
AroucaWWWLD
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
FC PortoArouca
66.7Attack83.3
100.0Defence100.0
100.0Form100.0
91.7Power92.8
1.46xG1.31