Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Porto · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-0 (10%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Porto 2-0 Alverca
Original prediction
FC Porto
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 August 2026 at 01:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.1-unified-aggregate-winner.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–010%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
FC Porto
Probability
56.5%
Model confidence
11.9%
FC Porto has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FC PortoWLWLW
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
AlvercaWLWWW
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
FC PortoAlverca
66.7Attack0.0
100.0Defence33.3
100.0Form0.0
88.7Power15.3
1.84xG0.96