FC Portovs
Academico Viseu
SCHEDULEDPortugal · Taça da Liga · 10/27/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Porto · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (9%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:41 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: -| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.38 | 67.3% | 45.5% | -21.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.64 | 20.0% | 26.5% | 6.5 pts |
| Away | 7.31 | 12.7% | 28.0% | 15.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 - · Draw - · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–09%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
FC Porto
Probability
45.5%
Model confidence
45.5%
FC Porto has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FC PortoWLLWW
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Academico ViseuWLWWW
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FC PortoAcademico Viseu
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
1.43xG1.22