GGOALVIO

Georgia · Erovnuli Liga · 10/26/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Iberia 1999 · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

FC Iberia 1999 3-2 Torpedo Kutaisi

Original prediction

FC Iberia 1999

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:45 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.7252.4%45.5%-6.8 pts
Draw3.5825.2%26.9%1.7 pts
Away4.0222.4%27.5%5.1 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.72 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-6.8 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.1–011%
  3. 3.0–010%

Predicted outcome

FC Iberia 1999

Probability

45.5%

Model confidence

45.5%

FC Iberia 1999 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC Iberia 1999DWLWL

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Torpedo KutaisiLDLWD

GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
FC Iberia 1999Torpedo Kutaisi
48.3Attack52.9
64.4Defence56.3
59.8Form42.5
59.3Power51.3
1.40xG1.00
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