GGOALVIO

Georgia · Erovnuli Liga · 9/13/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Iberia 1999 · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (12%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

FC Iberia 1999 1-0 Spaeri

Original prediction

FC Iberia 1999

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.6554.5%54.6%0.1 pts
Draw3.5425.5%24.0%-1.5 pts
Away4.5020.0%21.4%1.4 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.65 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

0.1 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–113%
  2. 2.1–012%
  3. 3.2–010%

Predicted outcome

FC Iberia 1999

Probability

54.6%

Model confidence

54.6%

FC Iberia 1999 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC Iberia 1999LWLLL

GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
SpaeriDDLLD

GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
FC Iberia 1999Spaeri
46.4Attack44.0
60.9Defence49.3
53.6Form33.3
55.4Power43.6
1.57xG0.91
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