FC Iberia 1999vs
Samgurali
COMPLETEDGeorgia · Erovnuli Liga · 9/5/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Iberia 1999 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-0 (11%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Iberia 1999 2-1 Samgurali
Original prediction
FC Iberia 1999
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.84 | 49.0% | 57.4% | 8.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.44 | 26.2% | 22.4% | -3.8 pts |
| Away | 3.65 | 24.7% | 20.2% | -4.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.84 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–011%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
FC Iberia 1999
Probability
57.4%
Model confidence
57.4%
FC Iberia 1999 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 14 · avg 0.80/2.80
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20