FC Iberia 1999vs
Dinamo Tbilisi
COMPLETEDGeorgia · Erovnuli Liga · 10/4/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Iberia 1999 · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Iberia 1999 1-2 Dinamo Tbilisi
Original prediction
FC Iberia 1999
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.28 | 39.6% | 37.9% | -1.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.21 | 28.1% | 27.8% | -0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.79 | 32.3% | 34.3% | 2.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–012%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
FC Iberia 1999
Probability
37.9%
Model confidence
37.9%
FC Iberia 1999 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80