FC Halifax Townvs
Gateshead
COMPLETEDEngland · National League · 10/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Halifax Town · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: FC Halifax Town 2-0 Gateshead, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Halifax Town 4-1 Gateshead
Original prediction
FC Halifax Town
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.35 | 67.5% | 67.8% | 0.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.60 | 19.8% | 18.9% | -0.9 pts |
| Away | 7.20 | 12.7% | 13.3% | 0.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.35 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.3 pts
Projected Score
FC Halifax Town 2–0 Gateshead
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
FC Halifax Town
Probability
67.8%
Model confidence
67.8%
FC Halifax Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 2 · GA 14 · avg 0.40/2.80