FC Dallasvs
San Jose Earthquakes
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 10/25/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Dallas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Dallas 3-0 San Jose Earthquakes
Original prediction
FC Dallas
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 00:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.79 | 52.4% | 41.3% | -11.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.04 | 23.2% | 27.0% | 3.7 pts |
| Away | 3.85 | 24.4% | 31.8% | 7.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.79 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
FC Dallas
Probability
41.3%
Model confidence
41.3%
FC Dallas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20