FC Dallasvs
Los Angeles FC
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 9/27/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Dallas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Dallas 1-0 Los Angeles FC
Original prediction
FC Dallas
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.26 | 41.4% | 36.3% | -5.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.52 | 26.7% | 28.4% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 2.94 | 31.9% | 35.3% | 3.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.26 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
FC Dallas
Probability
36.3%
Model confidence
36.3%
FC Dallas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40