FC Cincinnativs
New England Revolution
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 10/14/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Cincinnati · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (7%), 1-2 (7%), 1-1 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Cincinnati 2-3 New England Revolution
Original prediction
FC Cincinnati
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.85 | 50.9% | 38.3% | -12.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.20 | 22.5% | 26.1% | 3.7 pts |
| Away | 3.55 | 26.6% | 35.6% | 9.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–27%
- 2.1–27%
- 3.1–16%
Predicted outcome
FC Cincinnati
Probability
38.3%
Model confidence
38.3%
FC Cincinnati has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 14 · avg 1.80/2.80
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00