FC Cincinnativs
Columbus Crew
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 10/18/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Cincinnati · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (7%), 2-1 (7%), 3-2 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Cincinnati 0-2 Columbus Crew
Original prediction
FC Cincinnati
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 00:30 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.22 | 42.0% | 44.5% | 2.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.90 | 24.0% | 19.3% | -4.7 pts |
| Away | 2.75 | 34.0% | 36.1% | 2.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–27%
- 2.2–17%
- 3.3–26%
Predicted outcome
FC Cincinnati
Probability
44.5%
Model confidence
44.5%
FC Cincinnati has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 12 · avg 2.20/2.40
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20