FC Cincinnativs
Charlotte
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 9/12/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Charlotte · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (7%), 1-2 (7%), 2-3 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Cincinnati 3-3 Charlotte
Original prediction
Charlotte
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.95 | 48.4% | 36.4% | -12.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.09 | 23.1% | 26.0% | 2.9 pts |
| Away | 3.31 | 28.5% | 37.7% | 9.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.09 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–27%
- 2.1–27%
- 3.2–36%
Predicted outcome
Charlotte
Probability
37.7%
Model confidence
37.7%
Charlotte has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00