FC Cajamarcavs
Cienciano
COMPLETEDPeru · Primera División · 9/4/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cienciano · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Cajamarca 2-5 Cienciano
Original prediction
Cienciano
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.95 | 31.2% | 31.6% | 0.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.42 | 26.9% | 22.6% | -4.4 pts |
| Away | 2.20 | 41.9% | 45.8% | 3.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.20 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Cienciano
Probability
45.8%
Model confidence
45.8%
Cienciano has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80