Famalicaovs
GIL Vicente
COMPLETEDPortugal · Primeira Liga · 8/30/2026, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
GIL Vicente · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Famalicao 0-0 GIL Vicente
Original prediction
GIL Vicente
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.06 | 45.6% | 33.6% | -12.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.15 | 29.8% | 28.5% | -1.3 pts |
| Away | 3.83 | 24.6% | 37.9% | 13.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.15 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
GIL Vicente
Probability
37.9%
Model confidence
37.9%
GIL Vicente has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60