Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
29.8%
Model confidence
35.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FamalicaoWDDDL
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
AroucaDLDWL
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FamalicaoArouca
42.9Attack47.6
66.7Defence66.7
33.3Form52.4
47.6Power56.0
1.04xG1.01