Exeter Cityvs
Walsall
COMPLETEDEngland · League Two · 9/5/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Walsall · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Exeter City 0-0 Walsall
Original prediction
Walsall
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.45 | 37.9% | 33.3% | -4.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.35 | 27.7% | 29.6% | 1.9 pts |
| Away | 2.69 | 34.4% | 37.1% | 2.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.35 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Walsall
Probability
37.1%
Model confidence
37.1%
Walsall has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Exeter CityDLWLL
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
WalsallDWDDW
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Exeter CityWalsall
33.3Attack66.7
66.7Defence66.7
33.3Form66.7
45.9Power67.6
1.05xG1.35