Exeter Cityvs
Tranmere
COMPLETEDEngland · League Two · 9/19/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tranmere · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Exeter City 0-0 Tranmere, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Exeter City 0-0 Tranmere
Original prediction
Tranmere
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.23 | 41.4% | 35.0% | -6.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.31 | 27.9% | 29.5% | 1.5 pts |
| Away | 3.02 | 30.6% | 35.5% | 4.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.31 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.9 pts
Projected Score
Exeter City 0–0 Tranmere
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Tranmere
Probability
35.5%
Model confidence
35.5%
Tranmere has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Exeter CityLDWDL
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
TranmereLWDDD
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Exeter CityTranmere
22.2Attack50.0
72.2Defence61.1
27.8Form50.0
42.6Power55.0
0.90xG1.00