Exeter Cityvs
Rotherham
COMPLETEDEngland · League Two · 10/3/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Exeter City 0-0 Rotherham, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
Exeter City 1-0 Rotherham
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 09:55 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.55 | 36.5% | 35.1% | -1.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.30 | 28.1% | 31.6% | 3.4 pts |
| Away | 2.63 | 35.4% | 33.3% | -2.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.4 pts
Projected Score
Exeter City 0–0 Rotherham
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.6%
Model confidence
35.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Exeter CityLDDLW
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
RotherhamDDWDL
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Exeter CityRotherham
16.7Attack45.8
75.0Defence54.2
25.0Form41.7
41.0Power50.3
0.87xG0.79