Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Benfica · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 1-3 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 9 October 2026 at 01:34 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.1–38%
Predicted outcome
Benfica
Probability
53.3%
Model confidence
53.3%
Benfica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
EstrelaLDWDW
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
BenficaLWWWW
GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
EstrelaBenfica
66.7Attack100.0
33.3Defence66.7
47.6Form76.2
52.2Power76.8
1.37xG2.48