Estrelavs
Academico Viseu
COMPLETEDPortugal · Primeira Liga · 9/20/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Estrela · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Estrela 0-2 Academico Viseu
Original prediction
Estrela
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.06 | 45.5% | 50.5% | 5.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.33 | 28.2% | 23.7% | -4.5 pts |
| Away | 3.56 | 26.4% | 25.9% | -0.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–07%
Predicted outcome
Estrela
Probability
50.5%
Model confidence
50.5%
Estrela has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40