Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Estoril · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Estoril 0-2 Rio Ave
Original prediction
Estoril
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Estoril
Probability
42.2%
Model confidence
42.2%
Estoril has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
EstorilLDDDL
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
Rio AveLLWDW
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
EstorilRio Ave
16.7Attack0.0
50.0Defence50.0
16.7Form0.0
31.3Power21.5
1.41xG1.13