Estevs
Caldiero Terme
COMPLETEDItaly · Coppa Italia Serie D · 10/7/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Este · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Este 0-2 Caldiero Terme
Original prediction
Este
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 16:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.37 | 37.8% | 37.8% | -0.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.06 | 29.3% | 29.4% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 2.73 | 32.8% | 32.8% | -0.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Este
Probability
37.8%
Model confidence
37.8%
Este has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
EsteDWDWL
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Caldiero TermeLWWLD
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
EsteCaldiero Terme
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
1.32xG1.12