Eniseyvs
Shinnik Yaroslavl
COMPLETEDRussia · First League · 8/30/2026, 9:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shinnik Yaroslavl · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Enisey 0-0 Shinnik Yaroslavl
Original prediction
Shinnik Yaroslavl
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.10 | 43.9% | 35.6% | -8.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.05 | 30.3% | 25.7% | -4.5 pts |
| Away | 3.57 | 25.9% | 38.7% | 12.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.05 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Shinnik Yaroslavl
Probability
38.7%
Model confidence
38.7%
Shinnik Yaroslavl has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40