Empolivs
Vicenza Virtus
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie B · 10/23/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Empoli · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Empoli 0-2 Vicenza Virtus
Original prediction
Empoli
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 1 October 2026 at 12:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.51 | 37.1% | 42.8% | 5.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.25 | 28.7% | 25.8% | -2.9 pts |
| Away | 2.73 | 34.2% | 31.4% | -2.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Empoli
Probability
42.8%
Model confidence
42.8%
Empoli has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
EmpoliDLLLW
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Vicenza VirtusDLLLD
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
EmpoliVicenza Virtus
33.3Attack42.9
47.6Defence28.6
33.3Form28.6
41.2Power36.4
1.55xG1.20