Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Elva · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 3-1 (8%), 2-2 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Elva 1-0 Maardu
Original prediction
Elva
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.3–18%
- 3.2–26%
Predicted outcome
Elva
Probability
59.9%
Model confidence
59.9%
Elva has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ElvaLWWDW
GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
MaarduWLWWL
GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
ElvaMaardu
59.4Attack52.2
46.4Defence27.5
49.3Form46.4
52.8Power43.8
2.94xG1.56