Elvavs
FCI Levadia II
COMPLETEDEstonia · Esiliiga A · 10/25/2026, 10:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Elva · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Elva 3-3 FCI Levadia II
Original prediction
Elva
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.10 | 42.9% | 38.6% | -4.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.69 | 24.3% | 25.1% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 2.74 | 32.8% | 36.3% | 3.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.69 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Elva
Probability
38.6%
Model confidence
38.6%
Elva has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ElvaDLWDW
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FCI Levadia IIWWWWD
GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
ElvaFCI Levadia II
49.0Attack66.7
50.0Defence41.7
51.0Form52.1
51.5Power53.7
1.88xG1.89