Eemdijkvs
Roosendaal
COMPLETEDNetherlands · KNVB Beker · 9/22/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Eemdijk · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Eemdijk 2-1 Roosendaal
Original prediction
Eemdijk
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.92 | 31.1% | 39.8% | 8.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.94 | 23.0% | 24.3% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 1.98 | 45.9% | 35.9% | -10.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.92 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Eemdijk
Probability
39.8%
Model confidence
39.8%
Eemdijk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
EemdijkWWLWL
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
RoosendaalWLW
GF 6 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/0.33
BTTS 0/3O2.5 1/3
EemdijkRoosendaal
88.9Attack33.3
22.2Defence83.3
66.7Form50.0
56.2Power56.2
2.20xG1.76