Edinburgh Cityvs
Dundee United II
COMPLETEDScotland · Challenge Cup · 9/22/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Edinburgh City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%), 3-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Edinburgh City 1-0 Dundee United II
Original prediction
Edinburgh City
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:58 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.16 | 78.2% | 62.5% | -15.8 pts |
| Draw | 6.68 | 13.6% | 19.9% | 6.3 pts |
| Away | 11.03 | 8.2% | 17.7% | 9.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.16 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-15.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.2–09%
- 3.3–18%
Predicted outcome
Edinburgh City
Probability
62.5%
Model confidence
62.5%
Edinburgh City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 9 · avg 2.80/1.80
GF 4 · GA 20 · avg 0.80/4.00