Edinburgh Cityvs
Cowdenbeath
COMPLETEDScotland · Challenge Cup · 8/11/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cowdenbeath · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Edinburgh City are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Cowdenbeath are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Cowdenbeath hold a 49.4-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 64.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.7% in the Challenge Cup, while Cowdenbeath holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Cowdenbeath
Probability
50.2%
Model confidence
8.7%
Cowdenbeath has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40