GGOALVIO

Scotland · Challenge Cup · 8/11/2026, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Cowdenbeath · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Lowconfidence

Edinburgh City are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Cowdenbeath are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Cowdenbeath hold a 49.4-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 64.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.7% in the Challenge Cup, while Cowdenbeath holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Cowdenbeath

Probability

50.2%

Model confidence

8.7%

Cowdenbeath has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Edinburgh CityDLWLW

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
CowdenbeathLLLLW

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Edinburgh CityCowdenbeath
33.3Attack88.9
0.0Defence33.3
0.0Form66.7
15.3Power64.7
1.67xG2.30
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