East Kilbridevs
Celtic II
COMPLETEDScotland · Challenge Cup · 9/22/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
East Kilbride · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
East Kilbride 3-3 Celtic II
Original prediction
East Kilbride
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:58 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.20 | 74.6% | 53.2% | -21.5 pts |
| Draw | 6.09 | 14.8% | 21.1% | 6.3 pts |
| Away | 8.44 | 10.6% | 25.8% | 15.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 5.09 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-21.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.2–27%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
East Kilbride
Probability
53.2%
Model confidence
53.2%
East Kilbride has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40