Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tapatío · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 0-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Durango 5-0 Tapatío
Original prediction
Tapatío
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 18:32 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.0–112%
Predicted outcome
Tapatío
Probability
38.2%
Model confidence
38.2%
Tapatío has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
DurangoDWWWL
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
TapatíoWLLWL
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
DurangoTapatío
27.8Attack63.9
69.4Defence44.4
50.0Form47.2
51.5Power52.1
1.00xG1.08