GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 10/4/2026, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Mineros de Zacatecas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Durango are 2W-0D-2L in their last 4 (LLWW), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.25 conceded, while Mineros de Zacatecas are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWDL), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 9 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Mineros de Zacatecas hold a 13.7-point power-rating edge (55.1 v 68.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.1% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Mineros de Zacatecas holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Mineros de Zacatecas

Probability

38.1%

Model confidence

38.1%

Mineros de Zacatecas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

DurangoLLWW

GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.50/1.25

BTTS 0/4O2.5 1/4
Mineros de ZacatecasWDWDL

GF 13 · GA 11 · avg 2.60/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
DurangoMineros de Zacatecas
22.2Attack100.0
66.7Defence41.7
66.7Form66.7
55.1Power68.8
1.42xG1.57
View match centre →