Durangovs
Mineros de Zacatecas
SCHEDULEDMexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 10/4/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mineros de Zacatecas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Durango are 2W-0D-2L in their last 4 (LLWW), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.25 conceded, while Mineros de Zacatecas are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWDL), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 9 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Mineros de Zacatecas hold a 13.7-point power-rating edge (55.1 v 68.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.1% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Mineros de Zacatecas holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Mineros de Zacatecas
Probability
38.1%
Model confidence
38.1%
Mineros de Zacatecas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.50/1.25
GF 13 · GA 11 · avg 2.60/2.20