Durangovs
Leones Negros UDG
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 8/23/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Leones Negros UDG · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Durango 1-2 Leones Negros UDG
Original prediction
Leones Negros UDG
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Leones Negros UDG
Probability
46.8%
Model confidence
46.8%
Leones Negros UDG has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
DurangoLLWW
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.50/1.25
BTTS 0/4O2.5 1/4
Leones Negros UDGWLWWL
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
DurangoLeones Negros UDG
16.7Attack91.7
58.3Defence58.3
50.0Form75.0
45.2Power73.1
1.14xG1.73