Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Derio · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%), 2-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Durango 1-1 Derio
Original prediction
Derio
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 October 2026 at 00:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–18%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–28%
Predicted outcome
Derio
Probability
38.6%
Model confidence
38.6%
Derio has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
DurangoWW
GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/1.00
BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
DerioWLDLL
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
DurangoDerio
50.0Attack66.7
50.0Defence66.7
50.0Form100.0
50.0Power80.3
1.90xG2.10