DurangovsCruz Azul Hidalgo

Durango are 2W-0D-2L in their last 4 (LLWW), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.25 conceded, while Cruz Azul Hidalgo are 0W-2D-2L in their last 4 (LLDD), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 8 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Durango hold a 22.4-point power-rating edge (55.1 v 32.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.0% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Durango holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.