Dunfermlinevs
Partick
COMPLETEDScotland · Championship · 10/20/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Dunfermline 0-0 Partick, with an exact score probability of 38%.
Prediction record
Final result
Dunfermline 1-1 Partick
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:57 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.77 | 32.9% | 26.9% | -6.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.17 | 28.8% | 37.6% | 8.8 pts |
| Away | 2.38 | 38.3% | 35.5% | -2.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.17 · Draw 2.17 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.8 pts
Projected Score
Dunfermline 0–0 Partick
Exact score probability: 38%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
37.6%
Model confidence
37.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
DunfermlineDDLWW
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
PartickWWWDL
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
DunfermlinePartick
25.9Attack36.7
81.5Defence90.0
51.9Form70.0
55.5Power67.5
0.43xG0.56